Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.001050 0.001086 0.001123 0.001163 0.001206 0.001250 0.001299
2025-08-31 0.000994 0.001049 0.001106 0.001170 0.001242 0.001318 0.001407
2025-09-07 0.000947 0.001014 0.001086 0.001170 0.001266 0.001372 0.001501
2025-09-14 0.000900 0.000976 0.001059 0.001158 0.001273 0.001406 0.001571
2025-09-21 0.000860 0.000941 0.001032 0.001142 0.001274 0.001430 0.001629
2025-09-28 0.000829 0.000915 0.001013 0.001134 0.001282 0.001460 0.001695
2025-10-05 0.000788 0.000875 0.000975 0.001100 0.001255 0.001446 0.001703
2025-10-12 0.000764 0.000854 0.000959 0.001092 0.001259 0.001469 0.001759
2025-10-19 0.000748 0.000841 0.000951 0.001093 0.001274 0.001505 0.001833
2025-10-26 0.000728 0.000824 0.000937 0.001084 0.001275 0.001523 0.001884
2025-11-02 0.000715 0.000813 0.000931 0.001085 0.001289 0.001558 0.001960
2025-11-09 0.000699 0.000799 0.000919 0.001078 0.001292 0.001578 0.002013
2025-11-16 0.000682 0.000782 0.000904 0.001068 0.001289 0.001591 0.002060
2025-11-23 0.000677 0.000781 0.000909 0.001082 0.001321 0.001654 0.002187
2025-11-30 0.000667 0.000773 0.000905 0.001086 0.001338 0.001696 0.002285
2025-12-07 0.000653 0.000760 0.000893 0.001077 0.001337 0.001711 0.002340
2025-12-14 0.000638 0.000744 0.000878 0.001064 0.001330 0.001716 0.002379
2025-12-21 0.000626 0.000733 0.000868 0.001058 0.001330 0.001734 0.002439
2025-12-28 0.000606 0.000710 0.000842 0.001028 0.001296 0.001695 0.002398
2026-01-04 0.000595 0.000699 0.000832 0.001020 0.001295 0.001708 0.002450
2026-01-11 0.000588 0.000693 0.000828 0.001021 0.001305 0.001739 0.002538
2026-01-18 0.000578 0.000683 0.000818 0.001013 0.001302 0.001749 0.002586
2026-01-25 0.000572 0.000678 0.000815 0.001014 0.001313 0.001782 0.002680